Recession Odds Fall as US-China Tariff Truce Shifts Market Sentiment
Wealth advisors tracking macroeconomic risks may recalibrate near-term recession expectations. Betting markets lowering probability of a US downturn.
Wealth advisors tracking macroeconomic risks may recalibrate near-term recession expectations. Betting markets lowering probability of a US downturn.
Sentiment toward the US stock market is improving but it’s too early for investors to sound the all-clear, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.
Trump on Friday floated cutting tariffs on China from 145% to 80% ahead of a weekend meeting among top U.S. and Chinese trade officials.
U.S. bond giant PIMCO told the Financial Times that recession risks are at their highest in years and warned investors.
Ken Rogoff, Harvard professor, is warning that equity markets may be underestimating the likelihood of a U.S. recession by the end of the summer.
If the economy is indeed on the verge of a downturn, it may be many months—if not longer—before it is officially labeled as such.
The steep recovery in equity markets over the past two weeks is typical of bear market rallies, and the erratic swings.